Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000050 0.000052 0.000055 0.000057 0.000060 0.000064
2025-04-27 0.000043 0.000046 0.000049 0.000053 0.000058 0.000063 0.000068
2025-05-04 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049 0.000054 0.000060 0.000067 0.000075
2025-05-11 0.000039 0.000044 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062 0.000070 0.000080
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065 0.000076 0.000089
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000076 0.000090
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000091
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077 0.000095
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000080 0.000101
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000080 0.000102
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078 0.000101
2025-07-06 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000099
2025-07-13 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075 0.000099
2025-07-20 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000100
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000061 0.000081 0.000113
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000049 0.000064 0.000087 0.000124
2025-08-17 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063 0.000086 0.000125
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000061 0.000084 0.000124
2025-08-31 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000087 0.000129
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000047 0.000064 0.000090 0.000137
2025-09-14 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000089 0.000137
2025-09-21 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000044 0.000061 0.000087 0.000135